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February 26, 2021

Latest CoStar Composite Price Indices Ticked Down Modestly in January 2021 on a Decline in Deal Volume

Despite Lower Volume, Other Liquidity Indicators Continue to Show a Positive Market For Buyers And Sellers

CCRSI RELEASE – February 2021
(With data through January 2021)

 
Print Release (PDF)

Complete CCRSI data set accompanying this release

 

 

 

This month's CoStar Commercial Repeat Sale Indices (CCRSI) provides the market's first look at commercial real estate pricing trends through January 2021. Based on 1,013 repeat sale pairs in January 2021 and more than 237,956 repeat sales since 1996, the CCRSI offers the broadest measure of commercial real estate repeat sales activity.

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CCRSI National Results Highlights

  • COMPOSITE PRICE INDICES DECLINED IN JANUARY 2021, AFTER SOLID GROWTH IN DECEMBER 2020. The value-weighted U.S. Composite Index, which is more heavily influenced by high-value trades, declined by 1.1% in January 2021, though was still up by 7.9% in the 12-month period that ended in January 2021. Meanwhile the equal-weighted U.S. Composite Index, which reflects the more numerous but lower-priced property sales typical of secondary and tertiary markets, was roughly unchanged from December 2020, with a modest 0.2% decline in the month of January 2021, but was still up by 7.0% in the 12-month period that ended in January 2021.

  • THE SUB-INDICES OF THE EQUAL-WEIGHTED INDEX ALSO COOLED FROM DECEMBER GAINS. The two sub-indices of the equal-weighted U.S. Composite Index both exhibited a weaker trend in January 2021 following solid gains in December 2020. The General Commercial segment, which is influenced by smaller, lower-priced properties, declined by 0.3% in January 2021 after a 1.5% gain in December 2020. The General Commercial segment was still up by 6.9% in the 12-month period that ended in January 2021. In a similar fashion, the Investment Grade segment, which is influenced by higher-value properties, rose a slight 0.1% in January 2021.

  • TRANSACTION VOLUME DECLINES TO LOW LEVELS. Composite pair volume of 14,043 trades for the 12-month period ended January 2021 marked the lowest point since March 2013, as activity remained limited by the continued COVID-19 pandemic. The 12-month total represents a decline of more than 20% from the 12-month period that ended January 2020.

  • THE SHARE OF REPEAT-SALE TRADES THAT WERE DISTRESSED REMAINED LOW. Despite the slowing transaction pace, distressed sales remained about 2% of General Commercial and 0.4% of Investment Grade trades in January 2021. Both rates are low compared to their five-year averages of 1.8% and 0.9%, respectively. The continued low share of distressed sales demonstrates relatively healthy liquidity conditions, despite low trading volumes.

  • OTHER LIQUIDITY MEASURES REMAIN ENCOURAGING. The average time on the market for for-sale properties increased to 212 days in January 2021 from 197 days in January 2020, though it remains low on a historical basis. Since January 2006, the average time on the market for for-sale properties has averaged 305 days, over 40% higher than the January 2021 level. Similarly, the sale-price-to-asking ratio remained COSTAR COMMERCIAL REPEAT-SALE INDICES FEB 2021 Release (With Data through JAN 2021) at 92.6% in January 2021, up slightly from 92.4% as of January 2020, and better than the historical average of 88.9%. The share of trades withdrawn, another reliable sign of illiquidity, fell slightly to 26.9% in January 2021 from 27.3% in January 2020, and was below the historical average of 30.9%.

 


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About the CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices

 

 

The CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices (CCRSI) is the most comprehensive and accurate measure of commercial real estate prices in the United States. In addition to the national Composite Index (presented in both equal-weighted and value-weighted versions), national Investment-Grade Index, and national General Commercial Index, which we report monthly, we report quarterly on 30 sub-indices in the CoStar index family. The sub-indices include breakdowns by property sector (office, industrial, retail, multifamily, hospitality, and land), by region of the country (Northeast, South, Midwest, and West), by transaction size and quality (general commercial, investment-grade), and by market size (composite index of the prime market areas in the country).

The CoStar indices are constructed using a repeat sales methodology, widely considered the most accurate measure of price changes for real estate. This methodology measures the movement in the prices of commercial properties by collecting data on actual transaction prices. When a property is sold more than once, a sales pair is created. The prices from the first and second sales are then used to calculate price movement for the property. The aggregated price changes from all of the sales pairs are used to create a price index.

        

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Media Contact:

Gay Beach, Senior Director, Marketing Communications, CoStar Group (gbeach@costargroup.com).

 

For more information about the CCRSI Indices, including the full accompanying data set and research methodology, legal notices and disclaimer, please visit https://costargroup.com/costar-news/ccrsi.

 

ABOUT COSTAR GROUP, INC.

CoStar Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSGP) is the leading provider of commercial real estate information, analytics and online marketplaces. Founded in 1987, CoStar conducts expansive, ongoing research to produce and maintain the largest and most comprehensive database of commercial real estate information. Our suite of online services enables clients to analyze, interpret and gain unmatched insight on commercial property values, market conditions and current availabilities. STR provides premium data benchmarking, analytics and marketplace insights for the global hospitality sector. Ten-X provides a leading platform for conducting commercial real estate online auctions and negotiated bids. LoopNet is the most heavily trafficked commercial real estate marketplace online. Realla is the UK’s most comprehensive commercial property digital marketplace. Apartments.com, ApartmentFinder.com, ForRent.com, ApartmentHomeLiving.com, WestsidRentals, AFTER55.com, CorporateHousing.com, ForRentUniversity.com and Apartamentos.com form the premier online apartment resource for renters seeking great apartment homes and provide property managers and owners a proven platform for marketing their properties. Homesnap is an industry-leading online and mobile software platform that provides user-friendly applications to optimize residential real estate agent workflow and reinforce the agent-client relationship. CoStar Group’s websites attract tens of millions of unique monthly visitors. Headquartered in Washington, DC, CoStar maintains offices throughout the U.S. and in Europe, Canada and Asia with a staff of over 4,600 worldwide, including the industry’s largest professional research organization. For more information, visit www.costargroup.com.

 


 

 

 

 

888-226-7404
1331 L Street, NW
Washington, DC 20005

CoStar Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSGP) is commercial real estate's leading provider of information, analytics and online marketplaces.

888-226-7404
1331 L Street, NW
Washington, DC 20005

CoStar Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSGP)
is commercial real estate's leading
provider of information, analytics
and online marketplaces.