Pricing Momentum Remains Stronger Among Smaller, Less-Expensive Properties
CCRSI RELEASE – MAY 2019
(With data through April 2019)
Print Release (PDF)
Complete CCRSI data set accompanying this release
This month's CoStar Commercial Repeat Sale Indices (CCRSI) provides the market's first look at commercial real estate pricing trends through April 2019. Based on 1,140 repeat sale pairs in April 2019 and more than 209,000 repeat sales since 1996, the CCRSI offers the broadest measure of commercial real estate repeat sales activity.
CCRSI National Results Highlights
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COMPOSITE PRICE INDICES HELD STEADY IN APRIL. Composite price indices were essentially flat in April 2019, although pricing momentum remained stronger within the lower end of the market over the 12-month period ended April 2019 as the cycle advanced. The value-weighted U.S. Composite Index, which reflects larger asset sales common in core markets, was unchanged in April, but registered a gain of 1.3% in the 12-month period ended in April 2019. Meanwhile, the equal-weighted U.S. Composite Index, which reflects the more numerous but lower-priced property sales typical of secondary and tertiary markets, ticked up 0.4% in the month of April 2019, contributing to an annual growth rate of 9.5% in the 12-month period ended in April 2019.
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GENERAL COMMERCIAL SEGMENT OUTPERFORMS INVESTMENT-GRADE SEGMENT IN EQUAL-WEIGHTED INDEX. Recent pricing trends in the composite indices were mirrored in the two sub-indices of the equal-weighted Composite Index. The General Commercial segment, which is influenced by smaller, lower-priced properties, increased 10.1% in the 12-month period ended in April 2019. Meanwhile, the Investment-Grade segment of the index, which is influenced by higher-value properties, rose a more modest 5.1% in the 12-month period ended in April 2019. The recent momentum in the General Commercial segment demonstrates the breadth of the pricing recovery.
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TRANSACTION VOLUME THROUGH FIRST FOUR MONTHS OF 2019 IS OFF FROM RECORD PACE SET IN 2018. Composite pair volume of $35 billion from January 2019 to April 2019 was 18.1% lower than the sales volume recorded in the previous January to April period in 2018. The slowdown in sales volume early in 2019 was felt more acutely in the Investment-Grade segment, where transaction activity declined 23.5% year-to-date through April 2019 from the same period in 2018, while composite pair volume fell just 5.3% in the General Commercial segment during the same timeframe.
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OTHER LIQUIDITY MEASURES CONTINUED TO SHOW STRENGTH. The average time on the market for for-sale properties declined to 200 days in April 2019, an 8.4% change from an average of 218 days measured 12 months ago, in April 2018. Meanwhile, the sale-price-to-asking-price ratio, which measures the spread between buyer and seller expectations, narrowed 90 basis points over the 12-month period ended in April 2019 to 93.2%. The share of properties withdrawn from the market by discouraged sellers ticked down 190 basis points to 25.6% in the 12-month period ended in April 2019.
About The CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices
The CoStar Commercial Repeat-Sale Indices (CCRSI) is the most comprehensive and accurate measure of commercial real estate prices in the United States. In addition to the national Composite Index (presented in both equal-weighted and value-weighted versions), national Investment-Grade Index, and national General Commercial Index, which we report monthly, we report quarterly on 30 sub-indices in the CoStar index family. The sub-indices include breakdowns by property sector (office, industrial, retail, multifamily, hospitality, and land), by region of the country (Northeast, South, Midwest, and West), by transaction size and quality (general commercial, investment-grade), and by market size (composite index of the prime market areas in the country).
The CoStar indices are constructed using a repeat sales methodology, widely considered the most accurate measure of price changes for real estate. This methodology measures the movement in the prices of commercial properties by collecting data on actual transaction prices. When a property is sold more than once, a sales pair is created. The prices from the first and second sales are then used to calculate price movement for the property. The aggregated price changes from all of the sales pairs are used to create a price index.
Media Contact:
Matthew Blocher, Senior Director, Marketing Communications, CoStar Group mblocher@costar.com.
For more information about the CCRSI Indices, including the full accompanying data set and research methodology, legal notices and disclaimer, please visit https://costargroup.com/costar-news/ccrsi.
ABOUT COSTAR GROUP, INC.
CoStar Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSGP) is the leading provider of commercial real estate information, analytics and online marketplaces. Founded in 1987, CoStar conducts expansive, ongoing research to produce and maintain the largest and most comprehensive database of commercial real estate information. Our suite of online services enables clients to analyze, interpret and gain unmatched insight on commercial property values, market conditions and current availabilities. LoopNet is the most heavily trafficked commercial real estate marketplace online with nearly 6 million monthly unique visitors. Realla is the UK’s most comprehensive commercial property digital marketplace. Apartments.com, ApartmentFinder.com, ForRent.com, ApartmentHomeLiving.com, Westside Rentals, AFTER55.com, CorporateHousing.com, ForRentUniversity.com and Apartamentos.com form the premier online apartment resource for renters seeking great apartment homes and provide property managers and owners a proven platform for marketing their properties. CoStar Group’s websites attracted an average of over 49 million unique monthly visitors in aggregate in the first quarter of 2019. Headquartered in Washington, DC, CoStar maintains offices throughout the U.S. and in Europe and Canada with a staff of over 3,700 worldwide, including the industry’s largest professional research organization. For more information, visit www.costargroup.com.